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N. Virginia Pivotal Again in Statewide Election Tuesday

Once again, Northern Virginia promises to play a decisive role in a statewide Virginia election.

Once again, Northern Virginia promises to play a decisive role in a statewide Virginia election. Tuesday’s Democratic primary will be decided by the level of turnout of voters in Alexandria, Arlington, Falls Church and Eastern Fairfax County.

 

 

Once again, Northern Virginia promises to play a decisive role in a statewide Virginia election. Tuesday’s Democratic primary will be decided by the level of turnout of voters in Alexandria, Arlington, Falls Church and Eastern Fairfax County.

The area, which has carried virtually the entire margin of victory in the string of recent statewide Democratic upset victories this decade, is considered a relative stronghold of support for Former State Del. Brian Moran of Alexandria. It is generally held that a higher-than-usual turnout in this region will be to his favor, while a lukewarm turnout could mean curtains for him.

Statewide, the latest polls show Moran, Former Democratic National Committee Chair Terry McAuliffe and State Sen. Creigh Deeds in a virtual dead heat. In a highly unusual development, the three are all within a percentage point or two of the others in the major polls.

The winner of Tuesday’s primary will face off against Virginia Attorney General Bob McDonnell, who was nominated to be his party’s gubernatorial candidate in the November general election at the Virginia Republican Party convention in Richmond last weekend.

Other key races in the Democratic primary are the contest between Former State Treasurer Jody Wagner and Arlington attorney Mike Signor for lieutenant governor, and two hotly-contested State Delegate races.

In the 38th State Assembly District, covering mostly the Mason District of Fairfax County, 17-year veteran legislator, Del. Bob Hull, is facing a stiff primary challenge from Fairfax School Board member Kaye Kory.

In the 47th State Assembly District of North Arlington, five candidates, none of whom have held public office before, are vying to fill the slot vacated by the retirement of veteran lawmaker Al Eisenberg.

There is also a three-way contested race in the 35th State Assembly District further west in Fairfax County.

The Falls Church News-Press announced its endorsements Sunday and favors Moran, Wagner, Hull in their races and Adam Parkhomenko in the 47th. The only other major newspaper serving the same region, the Washington Post, agreed with the News-Press on Wagner and Hull, but gave Deeds a major boost with its endorsement of him for governor.

In the race for endorsements from elected Democrats from this area, Moran wins hands down, touting State Delegates Jim Scott and Margi Vanderhye, Fairfax Supervisors Penny Gross and John Foust, Arlington County Board Chair Barbara Favola, Falls Church Mayor Robin Gardner, Alexandria Mayor Bill Euille and many others, not to mention his older brother, U.S. Rep. Jim Moran.

McAuliffe sports a long list of officials, activists and small businessmen who are listed as supporting him on his web site, but Fairfax County Del. Ken Plum is the closest he comes to this area for an elected official endorsement.

Deeds enjoys the support of State Senators Mary Margaret Whipple and Janet Howell in this area, but, except for the Post’s, plays down endorsements, overall, on his web site.

In a Sleepy Hollow fundraiser last weekend, Del. Hull was introduced by Plum and State Sen. Dick Saslaw. U.S. Rep. Gerry Connolly indicated his preference for Hull in comments to the News-Press last Sunday, while Kory has no official support from an elected Democrat.

However, Kory’s campaign has been the subject of allegations of stealth support from some electeds, including a charge in the “Not Larry Sabato” blog under an entry entitled, “A Knife in the Back.”

The blog alleges that the wife of an elected Fairfax County state delegate has been active as a behind-the-scenes consultant for Kory, working through the Chadderton Group, and responsible, among other things, for the hiring of Kory’s campaign manager. The state delegate, himself, is listed on the blog as making a number of comments in defense of his wife’s role, and some entries became so hot that still another elected Democrat stepped in with entries appealing for more decorum, leading to the deletion of a couple of particularly incendiary posts.

Moran was buoyed last Sunday night by two major area events in the last week, a fundraiser held on his behalf by Democratic Party legend Ethel Kennedy in McLean and a straw poll at the annual Fairfax County Democratic Committee Jefferson-Jackson Dinner held at the McLean Hilton, where he won handily with 40 percent of the total vote. Deeds came in second and McAuliffe third.

His endorsements also include the Arlington-based Virginia Partisans Gay and Lesbian Club, largely due to his pledge to repeal the Marshall-Newman amendment to the state constitution that bans gay marriage and ostensibly all same-sex civil contracts.

The polls will be open from 6 a.m. – 7 p.m. Tuesday, June 9.

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